What isn’t a rule in our models, but could be with one more year of data?

BracketAnalytics.com is constantly re-evaluating our rules and with each tournament, we get new data to evaluate our rules. Right now there are two rules that are close to being added: Road Record and 3 point dependency.

You have probably heard me talk a lot about three point dependency. It is an excellent indicator of cumulative advancement, but it is not a good indicator in the early rounds because teams get hot (think Cornell last year).

The bottom line is that these rules are not yet statistically significant and passing our tests, so they don’t go in the model.

Here is a miniature version of what teams may be vulnerable because of these almost rules.