The Seed Performance Table – Dazzle Your Friends

Tags: Bracketology, March Madness, 2011 Bracket

Here is a table of data on how each seed has done in the NCAA Tournament individually and collectively. I have also added the last time that all of the seeds won in the same year.



We have automated all of this in our Seed Evaluator, so all you have to do is point and click. Some of you may want to refer to this or dazzle your office colleagues with this information. It’s pretty interesting stuff.

This, to us, really highlights where and how often mis-seedings and team mis-behavior occurs.

A couple things that catch our eye. First, six seeds out performing five seeds. It makes sense that many teams would be mis-seeded in these games so they can avoid bracketing constraints. Really challenge the seed that each team gets and rationalize if the team was moved due to these constraints. Another thing that catches our eye is that 9 seeds are twice as likely to all win as 8 seeds, and 3 seven seeds is three times as likely to happen as 3 10’s. You can expect 2 10 seeds and 2 9 seeds to win, but if you have to adjust, take a third 9 and only one 10. Again, it really depends on the seeding.

We will be giving updates on Twitter and Facebook all day on Monday so please follow us (twitter @bracketanalytix).

Based on our algorithms that we have built based on 26 years of tournament history, here is the current short list:

Big 10:  Michigan State, Ohio State

Big East:  Villanova, Syracuse, Georgetown, West Virginia

ACC:  Duke

SEC:  Florida, Kentucky

Big 12:  Kansas

Now, 69% of the time, there are two teams from one conference and 73% of the time there is a team from last year's Final 4.