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Research Vault Blog Displaying items by tag: Ohio State
Monday, 07 March 2011 12:31

Our Final 4 Short List as of March 7th

Our Final 4 Short List has some major changes

 

Our ‘Green List’ has gotten smaller, and our ‘Yellow List’ has had some names drop off and a perennial power jump back on. Let’s see who is peaking at the right time and who isn’t.

Georgetown, West Virginia, BYU, and UConn have fallen off our Final 4 short list, which isn’t surprising. The Huskies have disappointed time and time again as of late. They haven’t been the same team since they beat Villanova in mid-January. BYU and Georgetown you can attribute to suspensions and injuries, respectively. West Virginia has not has the bench strength, literally and figuratively , to be part of the equation this season.

Our Green List consists of Ohio State, Kansas, Duke, Texas, and Syracuse. Duke is the weakest team on the Green List due to three point dependence, but they are on the right side of the line for now. Syracuse is the weakest team in terms of net points per possession.

Kentucky is the strongest team on our ‘Yellow List’ as our doubts persist as they dance from one side to the other of our road performance and three point dependence thresholds. Florida is the new team on our ‘Yellow List’.

Remember, we feel 3 teams will come from our ‘Green List’ and one team will come from our ‘Yellow List’ based on tracking this over the past 12 years. We have one more week for this to change, so let’s see what happens.

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Published in Blog
Thursday, 13 January 2011 16:32

Our First Look at our Final 4 Short List

Based on our algorithms that we have built based on 26 years of tournament history, here is the current short list:

Big 10:  Michigan State, Ohio State

Big East:  Villanova, Syracuse, Georgetown, West Virginia

ACC:  Duke

SEC:  Florida, Kentucky

Big 12:  Kansas

Now, 69% of the time, there are two teams from one conference and 73% of the time there is a team from last year's Final 4.

Published in Blog

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