3 seeds win 85% of their games, but the probability that they all win is only 46%! The probability that 3 or more will win is 92%.
Last year Ohio beat Georgetown, so you would expect that this isn't due to happen this year, but remember, that 14 seeds this year are probably more like 13 seeds, so be careful.
4 seeds win 79% of their games, but they all win only 27% of the time.
Murray State beat Vanderbilt last year. 3 or more of the 4 seeds win 88% of the time, and again, with the tournament expansion, this is more likely to happen this year than it was last year.
5 seeds win 66% of their games, but they all win only 12% of the time.
This is why this is such a popular pick. All of the 5 seeds only win one out of every 8 years. It last happened in 2007. 3 or more of the 5 seeds win 62% of the time.
6 seeds win 68% of their games, but they all win only 19% of the time. All the 11 seeds win only 4% of the time.
7 seeds win 64% of their games, but they all win only 12% of the time. All the 10 seeds win only 4% of the time. 8 seeds win 46% of their games, but they all win only 8% of the time. Interesting enough, all the 9 seeds win 16% of the time, meaning it is twice as likely that all the 9 seeds will win than all the 8 seeds.
